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Caballo de Guerra

Caballo de Guerra is a 5-year-old who seems stuck between promise and results. He has won just once in 11 races—at Kelso in October 2024—and has gone a full year without another victory. His record reads 1 win and 4 places, which puts him at a modest 9% win rate overall. Yet there is something worth watching: when he races at Class 4 level, he wins roughly 1 in every 3 races (1 win from 3 attempts). At higher levels, he struggles. This suggests a horse who might be knocking on the right door if the yard can find his proper level again.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Brown
Father
Soldier Of Fortune
Mother
Lindy Lou
Owner
Mrs I Hodge & Russell
Official rating
115

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
11
Career races
1
Wins
9.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
36.4%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
26 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

His recent form tells a story of inconsistency. In his last six races he has finished second, sixth, then fourth, fourth, second, and fourth again. That second-place finish came just a day ago, meaning he is still racing and clearly sound. The trainers Lucinda Russell and Michael Scudamore, who run a yard in Perth that has already sent out 49 winners this season, clearly retain faith in him. After Caballo de Guerra jumped well in a recent race at Cheltenham, they described him as an "exciting prospect" who "jumped great" and came out of it with "plenty of credit," even though the race itself did not suit his style. They believe keenness in his racing is something the jumping will eventually settle.

What makes him interesting is the gap between his potential and his record. When he won at Kelso, Russell noted he has "loads of scope"—the kind of assessment trainers use when they see genuine ability that has not yet come together. The fact that he keeps placing but rarely winning, combined with the trainers' conviction that he still has something left to offer, suggests Caballo de Guerra may simply be waiting for the right race at the right track. Whether he can rediscover the form that brought that Class 4 victory remains the open question.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
23 Sep
2nd
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
17 Apr
6th
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 15 runners
28 Feb
DNF
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 18 runners
17 Jan
4th
Haydock Park
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
11 Jan
DNF
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 21 runners
6 Dec
4th
Wetherby
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 14 runners
25 Oct
4th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 5 runners
5 Oct
🏆 Won
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 13 runners
22 Mar
7th
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
21 Jan
3rd
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 12 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Jack Power Current jockey
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
Alan Doyle
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Kelso
Undulating
4 1 win, 3 other 28 Feb 25%
Ayr
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 17 Apr 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 6 Dec 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Jan 0%
Perth
Galloping
1 1 second 23 Sep 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Oct 0%