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Busty Boy

There is something both admirable and quietly maddening about Busty Boy. This nine-year-old has raced 21 times in his career and crossed the line first just once — a win at Kelso back in October 2023, now more than 30 months ago. That amounts to a win rate of roughly 1 in every 20 races, which tells you plainly that winning is not what Busty Boy does most often. What he does instead is show up, compete, and finish close — which, depending on your patience, is either comforting or deeply frustrating.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Ivawood
Mother
Alexander Divine
Owner
Scott Lowther
Rating
117

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
21
Career races
1
Wins
4.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
61.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The recent form figures tell that story perfectly. In his last six races, he has finished third, third, third, second, second, second — six consecutive placings without a win. That is not a horse falling apart or running badly. That is a horse who turns up every time and finishes just behind the ones that matter. He is the reliable runner-up, the horse who makes other horses look good. He raced just yesterday, so clearly there is no shortage of enthusiasm from trainer Daragh Bourke's yard in Waterbeck, which has sent out 11 winners already this season and clearly keeps Busty Boy busy.

His regular partner is jockey Brian Hughes, one of the most respected riders in the north of Britain. Together they have won 1 from 7 races, a win rate of around 1 in 7, which is actually more encouraging than the overall career numbers suggest. Hughes knows the horse, and Busty Boy clearly runs his best races at Class 4 level — that one career win from 10 races at that grade is where he belongs and where he is most competitive. Kelso, where that sole victory came, seems to suit him too.

The honest summary is this: Busty Boy is a nine-year-old with a career earning record that reflects a solid, consistent performer at the mid-tier level rather than a big-occasion horse. He will not often win, but he will rarely embarrass anyone either. Whether that one more victory is still in him after 30 months of trying is the interesting question — and given that he was out racing yesterday and keeps finishing in the frame, it would be unwise to completely write him off.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 9 starts (11%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at Carlisle in 5 attempts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 9 starts
Struggles on RH Undulating tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Yielding
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Good to soft
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2
Class 3
Avoids
Class 4
Loves
Class 5
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, undulating
Left-handed, tight turning
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids
Right-handed, undulating
Avoids
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
31 Mar
3rd
Bangor-on-Dee
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
5 Feb
3rd
Doncaster
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 8 runners
12 Nov
3rd
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 11 runners
16 Oct
2nd
Carlisle
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
25 Apr
2nd
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
23 Mar
2nd
Carlisle
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 16 runners
24 Feb
2nd
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 9 runners
26 Dec
6th
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 8 runners
1 Dec
DNF
Carlisle
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 12 runners
16 May
2nd
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
14.3%
Win rate
1/7
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Tommy Brett
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mr E Dwan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Carlisle
Undulating
5 3 seconds, 2 other 16 Oct 0%
Perth
Galloping
3 3 seconds 25 Apr 0%
Ayr
Galloping
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 12 Nov 0%
Kelso
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 second 29 Nov 50%
Naas
Galloping
2 2 other 27 Feb 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 second 26 Mar 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Dec 0%
Limerick
Galloping
1 1 other 27 Dec 0%
Aintree
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Dec 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 third 5 Feb 0%
Bangor-on-Dee
Sharp
1 1 third 31 Mar 0%