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Breaking Dawn

Breaking Dawn is a three-year-old still hunting for momentum after a bright start that has since stalled. The horse broke through with a win at The Curragh in March, but that remains its only success from six races. Over the past six outings, the form reads 14-11-–-1-4-4, a sequence that shows effort without reward: two placings framing a blank run, then a couple of fourth-place finishes at either end. That March victory now sits seven months behind, and with only one win from six attempts, Breaking Dawn is converting chances at barely better than one in five.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Twilight Son
Mother
On Her Toes
Owner
Breaking Dawn Partnership
Official rating
77

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
6
Career races
1
Wins
16.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
33.3%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
6 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Trained by M D O'Callaghan at The Curragh, Breaking Dawn competes in a yard that has already sent out 18 winners this season, suggesting a stable capable of getting horses to the winner's enclosure. The Curragh connection cuts both ways for this horse—it was there, on familiar turf, that the breakthrough came. Yet recent form suggests the three-year-old is struggling to build on that foundation. A horse this young with just one win might still be finding its feet, but seven months between victories is a long drought at any level. The task now is whether Breaking Dawn can rediscover the form that brought success in spring, or whether that March win will prove to be the peak of its career so far.

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Oct
14th
Roscommon
7f – 1m · Soft · 16 runners
12 Jun
11th
Fairyhouse
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
22 Mar
DNF
Naas
7f – 1m · Soft · 14 runners
15 Mar
🏆 Won
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 17 runners
11 Oct
4th
Naas
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding · 8 runners
18 Sep
4th
Naas
7f – 1m · Yielding_To_Soft · 17 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Colin Keane Current jockey
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Naas
Galloping
3 3 other 22 Mar 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 win 15 Mar 100%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Jun 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 other 12 Oct 0%