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Blue To Blue

Blue To Blue is a 3-year-old with the kind of form that tells a story of early promise followed by a long lean spell. The horse has won three times from sixteen races—a 19 per cent win rate—but there's a telling gap in that record: the last victory came thirteen months ago at Haydock Park on 4 September 2025. Since then, across six consecutive races, Blue To Blue has managed only one third-place finish and five other failures. That kind of drought would test any horse's the yard, and for a young animal still learning the game, it's a significant stretch without a success.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Blue Point
Mother
Hazaraba
Owner
Drew Ailsa Russell

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
16
Career races
3
Wins
18.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
37.5%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
45 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The one clear strength in Blue To Blue's profile is its preference for races at seven furlongs to a mile. Over that distance, the horse has won two of seven races—a 29 per cent win rate—which is substantially better than its overall record. Even more striking is the horse's record in lower-grade races at Class 5, where it has won half its four attempts. This suggests that Blue To Blue performs best when conditions and opposition align: shorter distances and lesser-known competitors bring out its best. Ruth Jefferson's Norton yard, which has sent out eight winners this season, will be hoping that a return to those comfortable ground conditions—both literally and in terms of race standard—can spark another win.

The horse was only a week old when it recorded its first career victory at Southwell on 20 April 2025, a sign of early ability. However, one win in the last thirteen months, combined with the pattern of results over the past six races, suggests that Blue To Blue may have hit a ceiling at this stage of its career. Still active and recently raced, it remains a horse capable of the occasional good day—but consistency and winning form seem to have become the missing ingredient.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 29% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
Loves
Sprint (< 5F)
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Unknown
5F – 6½F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
26 Sep
DNF
Market Rasen
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
3 Sep
11th
Haydock Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 14 runners
11 Aug
12th
Hamilton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 14 runners
19 Jul
3rd
Redcar
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 4 runners
27 Jun
14th
York
7f – 1m · Good · 16 runners
30 May
5th
Carlisle
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
9 May
2nd
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good · 10 runners
14 Apr
9th
Newmarket
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 12 runners
11 Oct
2nd
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
4 Sep
🏆 Won
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good · 8 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
Jack Nicholls
66.7%
Win rate
2/3
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Haydock Park
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 2 other 3 Sep 25%
Newmarket
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 other 14 Apr 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
2 2 other 11 Aug 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 win 28 Aug 100%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 win 20 Apr 100%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 30 May 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 27 Jun 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 third 19 Jul 0%
Market Rasen
Sharp
1 1 other 26 Sep 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 13 May 0%