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Blue Lakota

There's a horse who has quietly turned one particular track into something of a personal playground. Blue Lakota has raced 25 times in its four years, winning 5 and placing in 11 more — that's a podium finish in more than half of all its races, which is a genuinely impressive hit rate for a horse at this level. With a win rate of roughly 1 in every 5 races (20%), it's not a horse that dominates every time it shows up, but it's rarely far away.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Sioux Nation
Mother
Gwen Lady Byron
Trainer
Owner
Mrs Jennifer E Pallister
Official rating
61

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
25
Career races
5
Wins
20%
Win rate
avg ~10%
44%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
124 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The most striking thing about Blue Lakota is its relationship with Newcastle. Of its 10 races there, it has won 3 — that's 30% of the time at that track alone, compared to a broader win rate spread across various venues. That kind of affinity with a specific course is real and meaningful; some horses simply suit a track's layout, surface, or sweeping bends, and Newcastle clearly suits this one. Its first career win came there on 12 December 2024, and its most recent win was also at Newcastle, on 16 January 2026 — five months ago now.

Ground conditions matter too. On normal ground, Blue Lakota has won 5 of its 16 races — nearly 1 in 3. That's every single one of its career wins coming on a good surface, which tells you the team will be watching the weather closely and picking their moments. When conditions suit, this horse delivers.

It is trained by Kevin Ryan at Hambleton in North Yorkshire, a yard that has sent out 45 winners already this season — a serious operation with plenty of firepower. The jockey most associated with Blue Lakota is Tom Eaves, though their combined record of 1 win from 9 races together (11%) suggests the partnership hasn't always clicked, even if Eaves knows the horse well by now.

The recent run of form is the one note of caution. Blue Lakota has not won in its last 6 races, finishing 8th, 10th, 2nd, 4th, 3rd, and 6th in that sequence — active as recently as yesterday. The places are still coming, but the wins have dried up since January. For a horse that clearly knows how to win, the question is simply whether the right race, the right ground, and another trip to Newcastle can bring the best of it back to the surface.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 5 wins from 16 starts (31%)
✔ Course specialist at Newcastle: 3 wins from 10 starts (30%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
Sprint (< 5F)
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
16 Jun
8th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
18 May
10th
Carlisle
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
7 Apr
2nd
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 9 runners
19 Mar
4th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 7 runners
24 Feb
3rd
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
11 Feb
6th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
16 Jan
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
1 Jan
2nd
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
18 Nov
7th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
7 Nov
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
11.1%
Win rate
1/9
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
Mason Paetel
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
Jack Nicholls
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
10 3 wins, 3 seconds, 2 thirds, 2 other 19 Mar 30%
Southwell
Galloping
6 1 win, 1 second, 4 other 7 Apr 16.7%
Carlisle
Undulating
3 3 other 18 May 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 2 other 16 Jun 0%
chelmsford 1 1 win 19 Dec 100%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Apr 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 2 Jun 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 7 Jun 0%