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Birdie Or Bust

Birdie Or Bust is the kind of horse that reminds you why racing stays interesting — reliable, consistent, and seemingly built for one particular job. An eight-year-old who has now raced twenty times, she has won five of those races and finished in the money (second or third) a further twelve times, which means she pays her way almost every time she runs. That 25% win rate is solid, the sort of record that keeps a horse in regular work and gives her the yard genuine reason to saddle her up.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Walk In The Park
Mother
Bint Valkyrie
Trainer
Henry de Bromhead
Owner
John P Mcmanus
Official rating
126

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
20
Career races
5
Wins
25%
Win rate
avg ~10%
60%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
7 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What stands out most is her recent form. Just this week, on 11 October, she won at Cork — her fifth career victory — and before that she picked up a second-place finish at Thurles, suggesting she is firing on all cylinders right now. Her trainer, Henry de Bromhead, who runs one of the most productive yards in Ireland from Knockeen in County Waterford, has commented that she "looked back to herself" after an off day at Down Royal, and that observation matters because it shows she was struggling before this current run began. Now she is not.

There is a pattern worth noticing: Birdie Or Bust absolutely loves soft, muddy ground. She has won two of her four races on going like that — a 50% win rate that stands out sharply against her overall record. When conditions suit, she transforms. She has been ridden regularly by Rachael Blackmore, one of the finest jumps riders in the sport, and together they have managed two wins from seven races at nearly 30%, which is respectable.

De Bromhead is now weighing up options for the winter, including a potential entry at Ascot, though he has noted she prefers good, fast ground — the opposite of her summer preference — which might make for an interesting puzzle to solve. Either way, for a horse who has only earned around £74,000 in her career, she remains a working, competitive racehorse with just enough edge to win races and hold her place in a busy, ambitious stable.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on yielding ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Yielding (slightly soft)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Good (a little give)
Ok
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 Oct
🏆 Won
Cork
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
6 Jun
3rd
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
30 Apr
DNF
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 20 runners
5 Apr
DNF
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 13 runners
15 Oct
2nd
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 6 runners
21 Sep
🏆 Won
Listowel
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 8 runners
23 Aug
7th
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 15 runners
31 Jul
4th
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 11 runners
9 Jun
DNF
Roscommon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
11 May
🏆 Won
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 5 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
28.6%
Win rate
2/7
Wins / rides
25%
Win rate
1/4
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
Conor Brassil
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Harry Cobden Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Punchestown
Galloping
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 6 Jun 0%
Thurles
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 6 Feb 50%
Killarney
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 23 Aug 50%
Tipperary
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 third 1 Oct 50%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 5 Apr 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 win 21 Sep 100%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 win 11 Oct 100%
Tramore
Sharp
1 1 second 1 Jan 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Nov 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
1 1 third 14 Mar 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 27 Dec 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 other 9 Jun 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Nov 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 31 Jul 0%