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Billy Lee Swagger

There's a horse in Tinahely, Co Wicklow that has quietly been doing something right lately. Billy Lee Swagger, a 7-year-old trained by P J Rothwell, came into this week having spent months off the track — and then went to Ballinrobe and won. That makes three wins from 21 races across a career that has been more about persistence than fireworks, but the timing of that latest victory suggests there's still plenty of gas in the tank.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Laverock
Mother
Greenane
Owner
Blind Squirrels Syndicate/William Esdaile
Rating
117

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
21
Career races
3
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
33.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The numbers are modest on the surface — 3 wins and 7 places from 21 races works out at roughly 1 win in every 7 outings — but context matters. Before this week's win at Ballinrobe, Billy Lee Swagger's recent form showed two mid-field finishes followed by a long spell off the track, then the dashes that indicate non-completions. That kind of stop-start pattern can be the death of momentum for a horse. Coming back from that and winning is the sort of thing that makes trainers look smart and owners very happy indeed.

P J Rothwell's yard has been in fine form this season, sending out 35 winners — a serious tally that tells you this isn't a small operation just hoping for the best. When a stable is firing like that, a horse returning from a break and winning isn't a coincidence; it usually means something has clicked in the preparation. Billy Lee Swagger's career began with a first win at Punchestown on New Year's Eve 2023, and it has taken until May 2026 to add a third — so this has never been a horse that wins in bunches. But it does win on occasions that stick in the memory.

Regular jockey Tiernan Power Roche has been in the saddle for 8 of the 21 races, winning once together — roughly 1 in every 8 rides. That's a working partnership rather than a golden combination, but he was back aboard for the Ballinrobe win, which counts for something. A horse that has just won, with its regular pilot, trained at a yard in the middle of a productive season — the ingredients are in place for Billy Lee Swagger to make the most of whatever comes next.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on yielding_to_soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on soft_to_heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Yielding to soft (damp)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Soft to heavy (wet)
Avoids
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
25 May
🏆 Won
Ballinrobe
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 17 runners
30 Apr
DNF
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 26 runners
29 Mar
DNF
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 10 runners
8 Mar
17th
Naas
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 17 runners
8 Mar
17th
Naas
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 17 runners
21 Feb
DNF
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 8 runners
12 Feb
DNF
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 11 runners
29 Nov
🏆 Won
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 22 runners
16 Nov
6th
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 22 runners
3 Aug
9th
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 23 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Tiernan Power Roche Current Jockey
12.5%
Win rate
1/8
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Miss P Elvin
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Aidan Kelly
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Punchestown
Galloping
5 1 win, 1 second, 3 other 30 Apr 20%
Naas
Galloping
3 3 other 8 Mar 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 21 Feb 50%
Navan
Galloping
2 2 other 16 Nov 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
2 1 second, 1 other 25 Jan 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 win 25 May 100%
Downpatrick
Undulating
1 1 other 29 Mar 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 other 25 Sep 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 second 17 Mar 0%
Clonmel
Sharp
1 1 other 12 Feb 0%
Limerick
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Oct 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 3 Aug 0%