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Bellagio Man

The eight-year-old has won 6 races from 71 starts in a career that speaks to durability rather than brilliance—he finishes in the frame (first three) roughly once every three races, but breaking the line for a win remains rare at just 1 in every 12 attempts. What makes him genuinely interesting is how decisively he dominates at one track: he has won 5 of his 39 Newcastle races, and those five victories represent nearly 84% of his career wins. Most horses have a track they like; Bellagio Man has found a course he actually seems built for.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Dandy Man
Mother
Rouge Noir
Owner
Paul Musson Antony Brittain
Official rating
60

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
71
Career races
6
Wins
8.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
29.6%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
6 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Newcastle's track and surface suit him in a way that others plainly don't. His last win came there on 21 October 2025, now just over a year ago, suggesting he thrives on that particular ground and layout. Away from Newcastle he has won just once in 32 races—a sobering 3% return—which is why his the yard at Antony Brittain's Warthill yard in North Yorkshire likely keep returning to the same fixture. The trainer has had a productive season with 23 winners sent out, and Cam Hardie, his most frequent partner, has steered him to 4 wins from 41 races together at a respectable 10% win rate.

Recent form has been a struggle: Bellagio Man hasn't won in his last six races, with finishes of 11th, 7th, 5th, 10th and 12th. He raced just a day ago, so he is active and still competing. At Class 4 level—the bread-and-butter, middle-ranking races—he has won only 1 of 28 starts, which suggests that when the quality rises, even by a modest notch, his winning chances evaporate. He is exactly what his record shows: a loyal, consistent campaigner who knows where he can win and will likely return there again when the stars align.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Course specialist at Newcastle: 5 wins from 39 starts (13%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 9 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Wolverhampton in 8 attempts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
Class 6 (grassroots)
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Oct
11th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
2 Oct
7th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
26 Aug
5th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
1 May
10th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
21 Nov
12th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
1 Nov
DNF
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
21 Oct
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 8 runners
9 Oct
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
29 Aug
10th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 14 runners
8 Aug
10th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Cam Hardie Current jockey
9.8%
Win rate
4/41
Wins / rides
Alex Jary
8.3%
Win rate
1/12
Wins / rides
12.5%
Win rate
1/8
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
39 5 wins, 5 seconds, 5 thirds, 24 other 12 Oct 12.8%
Southwell
Galloping
14 1 win, 1 second, 1 third, 11 other 21 Nov 7.1%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
8 1 second, 1 third, 6 other 26 Aug 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 2 other 8 Aug 0%
York
Galloping
2 2 other 28 Jul 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 22 Sep 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 18 Apr 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Aug 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 other 29 May 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Jun 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 third 21 Jul 0%