Believed

The key to Believed lies in distance. Over the longer trips of 1 mile 6 furlongs to 2 miles, the horse has won 2 of 3 races—a 67 percent win rate that stands out sharply against its overall record. Trainer J. P. Murtagh, who runs a yard sending out 53 winners already this season from Coolaghknock Glebe in County Kildare, appears to have learned that Believed needs space and time to settle into a race. The horse's first win came at Dundalk on 26 May, but it wasn't until August, over two months later, that Believed secured its second victory at Cork—suggesting that finding the right race and distance takes patience.

Recent form has been mixed. In its last 6 races Believed has won twice, finished in the top 3 four times, but also failed to trouble the placings once. The most recent outing was just a day ago, and while the result is not yet reflected in the details provided, the horse remains active and competitive. For a three-year-old still learning the game, Believed has shown enough to suggest that with races at the longer end of the card, there could be more wins to come.