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Believe The Storm

Believe The Storm is a five-year-old who has shown enough ability to keep the yard — sorry, to keep the team interested, but has been frustratingly hard to win with. One win from eight races is a modest return, and with six races since that solitary victory, there is a sense of a horse that knows how to find the frame without quite finding the winner's enclosure.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Make Believe
Mother
Tranquil Storm
Owner
Basher Watts Racing
Rating
83

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
8
Career races
1
Wins
12.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That one win came at Wolverhampton in December 2024, now seventeen months ago, which is a long time in racing. It arrived over seven furlongs to a mile — the distance range where Believe The Storm clearly does its best work, winning one from four attempts at that trip compared to nothing at other distances. A 25% win rate over that range is genuinely encouraging; it is the equivalent of landing one in every four shots, which for a horse regularly placed but rarely winning tells you the talent is there, it just needs everything to fall right.

Recent form reads 5-9-6-4-2-2, which when you read it right to left — two seconds, then a fourth, then a sixth — actually shows a horse that was running well before hitting a rough patch. Those back-to-back second places suggest real competitiveness; finishing second twice in a row usually means a horse is doing everything right except getting the rub of the green.

Charlie Fellowes trains the horse from Newmarket, one of British racing's great centres, and his yard has sent out 17 winners this season — a healthy operation. The challenge for Believe The Storm is that it has typically been entered at Class 3 level, one rung below the top tier, and has failed to win from three attempts there. That is not unusual — Class 3 is a competitive grade — but it does suggest the horse may find life easier dropped slightly in class. Raced just one day ago, it is clearly fit and active, and with the right conditions over seven furlongs to a mile, another win is well within reach.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 25% win rate

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
25 Apr
5th
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners
20 Sep
9th
Newbury
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
21 Aug
6th
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 14 runners
31 Jul
4th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 13 runners
3 Jul
2nd
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 11 runners
11 Jun
2nd
Great Yarmouth
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 9 runners
21 May
2nd
Kempton Park
7f – 1m · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners
9 Dec
🏆 Won
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Lewis Edmunds Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Wolverhampton
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 31 Jul 50%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 2 seconds 3 Jul 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 second 11 Jun 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Sep 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Apr 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Aug 0%