Bay Of Supremacy
Bay Of Supremacy has found his groove on soft, muddy ground, a preference that has already shaped his young career. The three-year-old has won two of his ten races so far, but the real story lies in where those wins came: both have arrived when conditions turned wet. On firm or standard ground, he struggles to get going—just one place finish from five attempts—but give him a waterlogged track and suddenly everything clicks. He has won 2 of his last 5 races on the soft stuff, a 40% win rate that stands in sharp contrast to his overall record of roughly 1 win per 5 races. His first victory came at Naas in September 2025, followed six months later by a winning performance at Bellewstown in April this year.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Owner
Kildare Racing Syndicate Kilmichael Racing Syndicate
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
What makes Bay Of Supremacy particularly intriguing is his recent form. After that April success at Bellewstown, things have gone quiet—his last six outings have produced nothing better than a pair of fifth-place finishes, sandwiched between two thirds. He raced just yesterday and came up empty again, a fifth placing that continues a rather flat run. At this stage, he is not a horse setting the racing world alight, but he remains active and is being campaigned by trainer J. P. Murtagh, whose yard at Coolaghknock Glebe in County Kildare has sent out 53 winners this season. For a lightly raced three-year-old still finding his feet, Bay Of Supremacy's love of wet ground offers a clear target: when rain is forecast and the ground softens, this horse has shown he has the ability to get his head in front. The challenge now is whether his recent slump proves temporary or whether he has already shown us his ceiling.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Likes
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
10 Oct
5th
Naas
5f – 6½f · Soft · 11 runners
30 Sep
5th
Bellewstown
5f – 6½f · Soft_To_Heavy · 9 runners
19 May
5th
Cork
5f – 6½f · Soft · 11 runners
11 Apr
🏆 Won
Bellewstown
5f – 6½f · Soft · 12 runners
22 Mar
3rd
Naas
5f – 6½f · Soft · 15 runners
8 Oct
3rd
Navan
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 15 runners
18 Sep
🏆 Won
Naas
5f – 6½f · Soft · 12 runners
9 Aug
18th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good · 30 runners
23 May
11th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good · 21 runners
24 Apr
8th
Tipperary
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 13 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|
| Naas Galloping |
3 |
1 win, 1 third, 1 other |
10 Oct |
33.3% |
| Bellewstown Sharp |
2 |
1 win, 1 other |
30 Sep |
50% |
| The Curragh Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
9 Aug |
0% |
| Tipperary Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
24 Apr |
0% |
| Navan Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
8 Oct |
0% |
| Cork Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
19 May |
0% |