Bated Breeze

The numbers reveal a horse suited to shorter distances, between five and six and a half furlongs. Over that range, he has won 1 of his 16 races (roughly 1 in 10), which is solid in a field that includes plenty of runners going nowhere. His wider recent form paints a mixed picture: a second place four runs ago suggests he is capable of running close to the pace, but his most recent outing, just a day ago, saw him finish 13th, which hints at a horse who can have an off day like any other. Tom Queally has ridden him eight times without a win, suggesting they haven't yet struck the right formula together.

Trained by Gary and Josh Moore at Lower Beeding in West Sussex — a yard that has already sent out 99 winners this season — Bated Breeze competes almost entirely in Class 6 races, the lowest grade on the British track calendar. He has managed no wins from 11 attempts at that level, which underlines just how tight the margins are. That single victory at Brighton, then, was not a fluke but a genuine achievement: a horse finding the right race, the right conditions, and the right moment to get his head in front.