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Baileys Khelstar

There is a frustrating puzzle at the heart of Baileys Khelstar's career: this is a horse that wins at Ascot but cannot buy a victory in the more modest races it usually enters. That contradiction is what makes it worth watching.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Cloth Of Stars
Mother
Khelwa
Owner
Baileys Horse Feeds (F H Nash Ltd)
Rating
80

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
13
Career races
3
Wins
23.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
61.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The six-year-old has earned 3 wins and 8 places from 13 races — a win rate of 23%, meaning it wins roughly 1 in every 4 outings — which is a perfectly respectable record. But the detail that jumps out is where those wins have come. Baileys Khelstar opened its account at Beverley in July 2023, then went on to win at Ascot in May 2024, a track that hosts some of the most prestigious racing in Britain. That is a significant scalp. Yet in Class 5 races — the bread-and-butter, everyday level of the sport — it has gone 0 from 5. Five races, zero wins. A horse capable of winning at Ascot should, in theory, be competitive at that level, which makes the blank record there genuinely baffling.

Jockey Joe Fanning has been the regular partner, riding Baileys Khelstar in 7 of its 13 races and winning 2 of them — a win rate of 29%, or just under 1 in 3, which is an excellent ratio and suggests the partnership suits the horse. Fanning is an experienced hand at the Middleham Moor yard of Charlie Johnston, one of the busiest and most productive stables in the country this season, having sent out 125 winners. When a yard is firing at that volume, they know which horses need careful placing — and Baileys Khelstar may be one that needs exactly the right opportunity to show its best.

Recent form tells a story of mixed fortunes: two wins in the last six races is encouraging, but an 11th-place finish and a 7th also sit in that same sequence, hinting at inconsistency. The Ascot win came 23 months ago, so there will be questions about whether that performance can be reproduced. Still, with the horse active just one day ago and clearly still in training, the team evidently believes there is more to come. The puzzle is finding the race that suits — and given what Baileys Khelstar has already achieved at one of racing's grandest venues, writing it off would be premature.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft
Good to firm
Ok
Standard (all-weather)
Standard to slow
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
1M1F – 1M2F
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2
Class 3
Class 4
Loves
Class 5
Avoids
Class 6
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Ok
Right-handed, tight turning
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Right-handed, undulating
Left-handed, tight turning

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Apr
11th
Musselburgh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
25 Jul
7th
Great Yarmouth
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
22 Jun
2nd
Ayr
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
10 May
🏆 Won
Ascot
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
28 Apr
🏆 Won
Southwell
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 7 runners
8 Aug
2nd
Ripon
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 6 runners
1 Aug
2nd
Great Yarmouth
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 15 runners
22 Jul
3rd
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 10 runners
7 Jul
🏆 Won
Beverley
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
8 Jun
3rd
Great Yarmouth
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
28.6%
Win rate
2/7
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 25 Jul 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 win 10 May 100%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 win 28 Apr 100%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 win 7 Jul 100%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 4 Apr 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 third 22 Jul 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Dec 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 25 May 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 second 8 Aug 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 second 22 Jun 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Apr 0%