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Avec Espoir

Avec Espoir is a 13-year-old who has been racing long enough to know every trick in the book, yet still showed up to run just a day ago. Over 30 races, the horse has won 4 times and placed 7, a win rate of roughly 1 in every 7 races — solid work for a horse competing at this level for over two years. The most recent win came at Ballinrobe back in August 2024, but since then Avec Espoir has gone through a dry spell, failing to win in the last six outings.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
13 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Flying Legend
Mother
Still Runs Deep
Owner
Sean Obrien
Official rating
85

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
30
Career races
4
Wins
13.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
23.3%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
378 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What stands out is the partnership with jockey G B Noonan, who has ridden Avec Espoir five times and won twice — a striking 40% win rate together. That kind of win rate with a particular rider suggests real chemistry, the sort of understanding that only comes from knowing how a horse thinks and moves. It hints that when the pieces align, Avec Espoir still has winning races left in it.

At 13 years old, this is a horse running on experience and heart. The fact that it was back racing within the last day shows the determination is still there, even if the wins have dried up. Avec Espoir may be in the twilight of its racing career, but it has not been put out to grass just yet.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
✔ Effective partnership with G B Noonan: 40% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Ok
Good (a little give)
Ok
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, tight turns
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Oct
DNF
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 15 runners
26 Aug
DNF
Bellewstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 19 runners
8 Aug
DNF
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
5 Oct
11th
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 12 runners
20 Sep
14th
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 18 runners
12 Sep
DNF
Ballinrobe
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 13 runners
29 Aug
10th
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 17 runners
13 Oct
DNF
Cork
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 13 runners
28 Sep
4th
Listowel
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 11 runners
26 Aug
🏆 Won
Ballinrobe
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 19 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
G B Noonan
40%
Win rate
2/5
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
Aidan Kelly
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
Evan Dwan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Mr D Doyle
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Alan King
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Wexford
Sharp
7 1 win, 1 third, 5 other 8 Aug 14.3%
Killarney
Sharp
5 1 win, 4 other 4 Oct 20%
Listowel
Sharp
4 1 third, 3 other 28 Sep 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 2 Jul 33.3%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 12 Sep 50%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 7 Mar 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 other 21 May 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 30 Jan 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Nov 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
1 1 other 26 Aug 0%
Limerick
Galloping
1 1 other 27 May 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Oct 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Sep 0%