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Aurea Fortuna

There is something quietly compelling about a horse that takes four years of racing to find its winning formula, and then does it twice in three months. Aurea Fortuna is a seven-year-old with 18 races behind her and, until the summer of 2025, not a single win to show for it. Then came Galway in August, a first career victory, and suddenly a switch had been flipped.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Mount Nelson
Mother
Battle Over
Trainer
Owner
Debbie Breslin/Mrs Paul Shanahan
Rating
110

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
18
Career races
2
Wins
11.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
27.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Today
About 2.5 miles · Soft, spongy ground · 22 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The numbers tell an interesting story. Across 18 races, Aurea Fortuna has won 2 and placed 5 times — a win rate of roughly 1 in every 9 races, which would look modest on paper if you didn't know that both of those wins came in the last six outings. That recent run — two wins, a third, and a fifth from six races — is the form of a horse that has figured something out. The win at Punchestown in October 2025 is the most recent, though at six months ago it feels like a while back, and the latest results (a ninth and a fifth in the two runs since) suggest she may be working her way back to her best rather than sitting at the top of her game right now.

She is trained by A.J. Martin at Summerhill in County Meath, a yard that has sent out 14 winners this season — a healthy total that speaks to a team in decent form. What is harder to explain is the partnership with jockey Daniel King, who has ridden Aurea Fortuna eight times without a single win between them. That is not necessarily a knock on King — horses can be complicated, and the two victories came with different riders — but it is an unusual quirk that any interested observer would clock.

Aurea Fortuna is the kind of horse that rewards patience. She spent the better part of her career in the places column, running well enough to keep the yard interested but not well enough to win. The fact that she broke through at Galway and backed it up at Punchestown suggests there is real ability there. Whether she can recapture that form after two disappointing runs is the question worth watching.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_yielding ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to yielding
Loves
Soft to heavy
Good (firm-ish)
Yielding to soft
Soft (muddy)
Heavy (very wet)
Yielding
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Right-handed, tight turning
Left-handed, tight turning
Right-handed, tight
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Apr
9th
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 17 runners
29 Dec
5th
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 14 runners
15 Nov
12th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 18 runners
15 Oct
🏆 Won
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 10 runners
20 Sep
3rd
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 18 runners
3 Aug
🏆 Won
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 16 runners
10 May
7th
Cork
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 17 runners
6 Apr
4th
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 13 runners
28 Dec
3rd
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 27 runners
10 Dec
2nd
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 20 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/8
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
Miss M O'Sullivan
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Peter Carberry
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Leopardstown
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 29 Dec 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 15 Oct 50%
Down Royal
Galloping
2 2 other 6 May 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
2 2 other 4 Apr 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 win 3 Aug 100%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 other 6 Aug 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 28 Sep 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Nov 0%
Tramore
Sharp
1 1 other 10 Oct 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Apr 0%
Limerick
Galloping
1 1 other 23 May 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 third 20 Sep 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 other 10 May 0%