Atlanta Brave

Those two career wins arrived within a matter of weeks of each other — Chepstow in early January 2023, then Hereford three weeks later — and Atlanta Brave hasn't been able to add to that tally since. The last six races have produced finishes of 8th, 5th, 3rd, 9th, 5th, and 4th (reading from oldest to most recent), which shows enough spark to keep the yard hopeful but not enough to suggest a breakthrough is imminent. A fourth place as recently as yesterday confirms the horse is still active and still competing — just not winning.

One thing worth noting is the ground. On wet or muddy ground, Atlanta Brave has won 2 of 8 races — that's a 25% win rate, comfortably better than its overall record, and the kind of number that makes a difference in a sport where the weather genuinely matters. Both career wins came in January, which is no coincidence. If you're looking for Atlanta Brave at its best, check the forecast.

The class level is a tougher conversation. Atlanta Brave has been raced nine times at Class 3 — one step below the top tier of British racing — and has not won once from those attempts. That's a clear pattern. The horse finds winning difficult at this level, and the record suggests dropping into softer company might be where its best opportunities lie.

Jockey Richard Patrick has been the regular partner, riding Atlanta Brave in 11 of its 22 races and picking up both wins — a win rate of 18%, or roughly 1 in every 5 rides together. That's a notably better return than the horse's overall record suggests, which tells you the partnership works. Trainer Kerry Lee, based in Herefordshire, has had 12 winners this season, so the yard is in decent form. Atlanta Brave just needs the right day, the right conditions, and — ideally — some rain.