Astelia
Astelia is a seven-year-old who has finally figured out how to win. After 20 races without success, the horse broke through at Killarney last week, claiming a first career victory at odds that made the wait feel worthwhile. In 21 races, Astelia has won just once (roughly 1 in every 20 races) but has finished in the top 3 on 11 occasions, which suggests a horse with enough ability to compete but not quite the sharp edge needed to close out races regularly.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Owner
Mickey Ds Bus Racing Club
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
The real story lies in what Astelia needs to succeed. Over distances of two miles and longer, the horse shows a hint of something: 1 win from 11 races at that trip is better than the overall record, and recent form tells a clearer story. In the last six races, Astelia has finished second twice and in the top 3 three times out of five runs, with only one failure at thirteenth place. That suggests the horse is finding its feet now, staying competitive at longer distances where there is less demand for blistering pace and more for the ability to settle in and grind.
Trained by Peter Fahey at Monasterevín in County Kildare, Astelia races for a yard that has sent out 14 winners already this season — a working operation with form in the book. The timing of that first win, coming just days ago, is worth noting for anyone watching this horse going forward. At seven years old, Astelia may finally have learned where it belongs.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 12 starts (8%)
✔ Well suited by Long Distance (2m+) distances: 9% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Loves
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
14 Oct
2nd
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 5 runners
4 Oct
🏆 Won
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
21 Sep
13th
Listowel
1m6f – 2m · Yielding · 18 runners
4 Sep
2nd
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 17 runners
29 Jul
DNF
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 23 runners
6 Jul
2nd
Roscommon
1m6f – 2m · Good · 15 runners
26 May
2nd
Ballinrobe
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
4 May
2nd
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 23 runners
16 Nov
10th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 17 runners
24 Sep
7th
Listowel
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 21 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|
| The Curragh Galloping |
3 |
1 second, 2 other |
25 Sep |
0% |
| Listowel Sharp |
3 |
1 second, 2 other |
21 Sep |
0% |
| Roscommon Sharp |
3 |
2 seconds, 1 other |
6 Jul |
0% |
| Down Royal Galloping |
3 |
2 seconds, 1 other |
4 May |
0% |
| Kilbeggan Tight |
2 |
2 seconds |
4 Sep |
0% |
| Galway Tight |
2 |
2 other |
29 Jul |
0% |
| Killarney Sharp |
1 |
1 win |
4 Oct |
100% |
| Ballinrobe Sharp |
1 |
1 second |
26 May |
0% |
| Punchestown Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
14 Oct |
0% |
| Dundalk Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
14 Oct |
0% |
| Cheltenham Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
16 Nov |
0% |