Ash Wednesday
Ash Wednesday is a five-year-old with genuine ability on the right surface and at the right track, but one whose recent form suggests it may be on the downward slope of its career. The horse has won six times from 27 races — a respectable return of roughly one win in every four or five attempts — and has found a particular home at Wolverhampton, where it has won four of its eight runs there. On normal, standard ground conditions, it is a sharp operator: six wins from 15 races translates to a 40 per cent win rate, which is the kind of figure that makes trainers sit up and take notice. But there is a troubling gap in its record. The last victory came at Southwell on 4 April 2025, and it has not won since — an 18-month drought that colours everything else in its profile.Based on TrackLab's analysis
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
Trained by Heather Main at Kingston Lisle in Oxfordshire, Ash Wednesday has been most effective when ridden by Jack Mitchell, who has partnered it for three wins from eight races together, a 38 per cent return. That kind of jockey-horse partnership suggests the pair understand each other, which makes the recent losing streak all the more puzzling. In its last six races, the horse has managed only one second place and one third; the rest have been unplaced finishes of eighth, eighth, twelfth, and seventh. These are not the results of a horse in form. The yard itself is in reasonable health with 17 winners sent out this season, so there is competence around Ash Wednesday, but the horse itself appears to have lost whatever spark made it such a strong performer at Wolverhampton and on standard ground just over a year ago. It remains active, having raced just yesterday, and may yet rediscover its touch — but the clock is ticking.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 6 wins from 15 starts (40%)
✔ Course specialist at Wolverhampton: 4 wins from 8 starts (50%)
✔ Effective partnership with Jack Mitchell: 38% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
Good (a little give)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 5 (entry-level)
Likes
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
2 Oct
8th
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners
18 Sep
8th
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
27 Jul
12th
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
30 Apr
7th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 11 runners
8 Apr
3rd
Kempton Park
7f – 1m · Standard_To_Slow · 12 runners
21 Mar
2nd
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
11 Mar
5th
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners
19 Jan
8th
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners
25 Jul
15th
York
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
8 Jun
4th
Goodwood
7f – 1m · Soft · 10 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
8 |
4 wins, 1 second, 3 other |
2 Oct |
50% |
| Southwell Galloping |
6 |
2 wins, 1 second, 3 other |
27 Jul |
33.3% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
3 |
2 thirds, 1 other |
30 Apr |
0% |
| Lingfield Park Sharp |
2 |
2 other |
30 May |
0% |
| Bath Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
17 Jul |
0% |
| Windsor Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
29 Apr |
0% |
| Brighton Undulating |
1 |
1 third |
17 Sep |
0% |
| Goodwood Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
8 Jun |
0% |
| Newmarket Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
18 May |
0% |
| Leicester Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
24 Jul |
0% |
| Newbury Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
17 May |
0% |
| York Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
25 Jul |
0% |