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Ascending

Ascending has the profile of a horse caught between two worlds. A seven-year-old that was originally bought to jump fences and hurdles, he has spent the last few years on the Flat under trainer Henry De Bromhead at Knockeen in County Waterford, and the results have been modest but consistent. From 26 races, he has won 4 times and placed in 13 others—a win rate of roughly 1 in every 6 or 7 races. That's respectable enough for a mid-level horse, but there is a problem buried in the numbers: his last win came on 17 June 2025 at Ascot, and he has not won since. In his most recent six races, he has managed a third place but otherwise finished fourth, sixth, seventh, and tenth—the pattern of a horse whose best days may be behind him.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Awtaad
Mother
Midnight Martini
Owner
C Jones
Official rating
98

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
26
Career races
4
Wins
15.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
38 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What makes that Ascot victory remarkable, though, is how it came about. De Bromhead had originally planned to run Ascending in a longer race over a mile and three-quarters, but a late change saw him entered in a mile-and-a-quarter contest instead. He won at odds that reflected his modest reputation. The trainer's comments afterward revealed a shrewd bit of problem-solving: Ascending had been schooled over hurdles and was thought to be a jumper in the making, but he never took to it. Rather than persevere with something that wasn't working, De Bromhead switched him back to the Flat, and the move has produced results. Over shorter distances—between a mile and one furlong and a mile and two furlongs—Ascending has won 1 of 3 races, a 33% win rate that stands out against his 14% record in typical Class 4 races.

The complication is recent form. His jockey Rachael Blackmore, a rider of genuine quality, has not found the answer either: she has ridden him six times without a win. Raced last just over a day ago, Ascending remains an active competitor, but the long drought since June raises questions. De Bromhead's recent plans suggested moving him back over hurdles in the winter, betting that Ascending might find success jumping after all. Whether that gamble works, or whether there is still a win left on the Flat, remains to be seen. For now, he is a veteran of the lower ranks in need of a breakthrough.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 33% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Soft (muddy)
Ok
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
Long Distance (2M+)
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 Sep
3rd
Doncaster
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
22 Aug
4th
York
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
6 Aug
6th
Leopardstown
1m6f – 2m · Good · 9 runners
16 Jun
10th
Ascot
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 16 runners
1 May
7th
Ascot
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
28 Sep
6th
The Curragh
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 33 runners
23 Aug
2nd
York
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 22 runners
17 Jun
🏆 Won
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 20 runners
6 May
🏆 Won
Cork
1m6f – 2m · Good · 10 runners
29 Nov
🏆 Won
Dundalk
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 7 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/6
Wins / rides
W J Lee
60%
Win rate
3/5
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
Mr A Jones
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Leopardstown
Galloping
4 1 second, 1 third, 2 other 6 Aug 0%
Ascot
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 16 Jun 33.3%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 10 Jun 50%
The Curragh
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 28 Sep 0%
Newbury
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 16 Sep 0%
York
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 22 Aug 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 3 May 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 win 6 May 100%
Dundalk
Galloping
1 1 win 29 Nov 100%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 second 27 Sep 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 second 5 Oct 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 third 11 Sep 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Feb 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 other 30 Sep 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Aug 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Mar 0%