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Arisaig

There is a horse at Charlie Johnston's yard in Middleham Moor that has quietly built a record worth paying attention to. Arisaig is a five-year-old with 4 wins and 12 places from 24 races — winning roughly 1 in every 6 times out — and she is very much still in the thick of it, having raced just yesterday.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Harry Angel
Mother
Magic Nymph
Owner
Chasemore Farm
Rating
102

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
24
Career races
4
Wins
16.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What stands out immediately is how good she is at her preferred trip. Over seven furlongs to a mile, she has won 3 of just 7 races, which works out at 43% — an extraordinary conversion rate that tells you she is a different animal when conditions suit. Her first win came at Chelmsford in October 2023, and her most recent at Goodwood in July 2024, a track that Johnston's team clearly have in their sights again. That Goodwood win came on fast, dry ground, and Johnston has been candid that she probably should have won there again last season but for getting caught in traffic. The implication is that the result flattered her rivals rather than reflected her ability.

She has not won in her last six races, and her record at the top end of the sport — Class 2, meaning some of the better-quality races in Britain — reads zero wins from nine attempts. That is a tough run, but context matters: horses do not stay in training at this level unless their team believes there is still a prize worth chasing. Johnston has said as much, noting she has not been kept around simply to pick up modest wins at Newmarket. The plan is to go back to Goodwood for the Listed Conqueror Stakes, a race that carries what is known as black type — a mark of prestige that defines a horse's breeding value and legacy.

Jockey Jamie Spencer has been on board for nine of her races, winning once together. Spencer is known for a patient, waiting style, which fits Johnston's instruction to ride her with restraint — she is a horse that needs things to unfold at her own pace. If the ground comes up fast and dry at Goodwood, and the traffic stays clear this time, Johnston hints that bigger targets — Group 2 level, which is just one rung below the very best races in Britain — could follow. For a horse who wins roughly 1 in 6 races overall but nearly 1 in 2 at her best distance, that ambition does not feel far-fetched.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 43% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Yet to win at Ascot in 6 attempts
Yet to win at Newmarket in 6 attempts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 1 wins from 14 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Good to firm (drying out)
Ok
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Avoids
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
7 Jul
3rd
Pontefract
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 12 runners
17 Jun
8th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 15 runners
2 May
4th
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 6 runners
14 Apr
2nd
Newmarket
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners
18 Oct
18th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 20 runners
26 Sep
3rd
Newmarket
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 14 runners
24 Aug
3rd
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
9 Aug
5th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
5 Jul
2nd
Sandown Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
18 Jun
14th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 24 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
11.1%
Win rate
1/9
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Ascot
Galloping
6 1 second, 5 other 17 Jun 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
6 1 second, 3 thirds, 2 other 14 Apr 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
4 1 win, 1 third, 2 other 2 May 25%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 win 6 Dec 100%
chelmsford 1 1 win 5 Oct 100%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 win 1 Jun 100%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 second 5 Jul 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 22 Aug 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 third 7 Jul 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Apr 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Sep 0%