Arctic Summer

The key, according to Tutty, is the ground. Arctic Summer wants it wet and muddy underfoot, and if the skies have been staying stubbornly clear, she has simply not been getting the conditions she needs. That one moment of form that hints at her real ability came in a Class 2 race last year — one of the top events in Britain — where she finished third. That is a significant data point. Horses do not place in races at that level by accident, and it suggests that when everything lines up for her, she belongs in much better company than her record currently implies.

Tutty also believes she is well placed in terms of the weights she carries — meaning the handicapper may not yet have caught up with what she showed in that Class 2 finish, leaving her potentially well treated once the rain arrives. Trained out of Osmotherley in North Yorkshire, she is part of a yard that has already sent out 20 winners this season, so the infrastructure and form around her is clearly working. Arctic Summer raced just one day ago and remains in active training, so the yard are clearly patient and still chasing that elusive first win. The day the clouds roll in and the ground softens up, she might be worth keeping a very close eye on.