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Archduke Ferdinand

Archduke Ferdinand is a 7-year-old who has found his niche at Redcar, where he wins roughly 3 out of every 4 times he runs. That is a genuinely remarkable win rate, the kind of record that makes a horse worth pointing a camera at every time he enters the parade ring at that track. In 4 races there, he has won 3 — a conversion rate most horses never come close to matching. His last victory came seven weeks ago on 29 July, and with such a strong course record, he is clearly a horse worth following whenever Redcar is in the cards.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Gutaifan
Mother
Salariaq
Owner
Phil Slater
Official rating
82

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
39
Career races
6
Wins
15.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
28.2%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
35 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Over his career, Archduke Ferdinand has won 6 races from 39 outings, a win rate of roughly 1 in 6.5. That is a decent return for a horse racing consistently at Class 4 level, where 2 of those 6 wins have come. Where he really thrives, though, is on fast, dry ground — he has won 4 races from 13 on those conditions, a 31% win rate that is almost double his overall average. He also shows a preference for distances between 1m1f and 1m2f, winning 1 of 4 races at that trip. Seb Spencer's Malton yard has trained him throughout, with jockey Dale Swift his most regular partner, combining for 3 wins from 27 races together.

Recent form has been patchy. His last six races show a second, a win, a fourth, a second-place finish, a twelfth, and a tenth — the kind of inconsistency that defines a mid-range racehorse. He raced just a day ago, so he is clearly a busy competitor and still very much active. For those watching British racing with an eye for value, Archduke Ferdinand is the sort of horse to note: a consistent earner with one obvious strength, a course where he wins far more often than he should, and a trainer whose yard is firing this season.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 4 wins from 13 starts (31%)
✔ Course specialist at Redcar: 3 wins from 4 starts (75%)
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 25% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Yet to win at York in 5 attempts
⚠ Yet to win at Newcastle in 5 attempts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
13 Sep
10th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good · 16 runners
22 Aug
12th
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
15 Aug
2nd
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
29 Jul
🏆 Won
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
15 Jul
4th
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
13 Jun
15th
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 22 runners
25 May
3rd
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
26 Apr
8th
Musselburgh
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
4 Apr
9th
Musselburgh
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
16 Aug
5th
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
11.1%
Win rate
3/27
Wins / rides
Alex Jary
40%
Win rate
2/5
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Doncaster
Galloping
8 1 win, 1 second, 6 other 13 Sep 12.5%
York
Galloping
5 5 other 13 Jun 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
5 1 second, 4 other 27 Jun 0%
Redcar
Galloping
4 3 wins, 1 third 29 Jul 75%
Musselburgh
Sharp
4 1 win, 3 other 26 Apr 25%
Newmarket
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 2 other 22 Aug 25%
Ayr
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 21 Jul 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 2 other 3 May 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 15 Jul 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 14 Jun 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 22 May 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 other 4 Aug 0%