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Archduke Ferdinand

There is something quietly persistent about a seven-year-old who has now contested 31 races and is still showing up — Archduke Ferdinand raced just yesterday, which tells you everything about the attitude of Seb Spencer's yard in Malton, North Yorkshire. Spencer has been in good form this season, sending out 13 winners, and Archduke Ferdinand is very much part of an active, busy string.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Grey
Father
Gutaifan
Mother
Salariaq
Owner
The Racing Emporium
Rating
84

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
31
Career races
5
Wins
16.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
25.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The record reads five wins and eight places from those 31 races — a win rate of roughly 1 in every 6 outings, or 16% if you prefer the number. That is a modest but honest return for a horse competing mainly at Class 4 level, the bread-and-butter tier of British racing. At that level he has won 2 from 15, which works out at just 13%, so he is not a banker even on his home turf in the rankings. His career best performances come on dry or normal ground, where the numbers brighten considerably — 3 wins from 9 races on fast, dry ground (33%) and 2 from 7 on normal ground (29%). Put him in the mud and he is a different proposition entirely.

The partnership with jockey Dale Swift is the defining relationship of his career. Together they have raced 25 times, winning 3 — roughly 1 in every 8 rides. That is not a thunderous record, but 25 races together represents real loyalty, and when it does click, they clearly know each other well. His first career win came at Musselburgh in July 2023, and his most recent at Redcar in May 2025, so there is a ten-month gap since he last hit the winner's enclosure. Recent form — finishing ninth, fifth, seventh, and then a couple of twelfths — suggests he is finding life a little harder at the moment, without quite falling off a cliff.

At a mile and one or two furlongs he has won 1 from 4 at that trip, a 25% return that stands out as his most productive distance. The picture that emerges is of a reliable, well-travelled campaigner who pays his way, loves the ground fast, and is probably at his most dangerous when the sun has been out for a few days and Dale Swift is in the saddle. The win drought will end eventually — horses like this tend to find a way.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 3 wins from 9 starts (33%)
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 7 starts (29%)
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 25% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Yet to win at Newcastle in 5 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Standard to slow
Good to soft
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2
Class 3
Avoids
Class 4
Ok
Class 5
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turning
Loves
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Ok
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Left-handed, tight

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Apr
9th
Musselburgh
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
16 Aug
5th
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
4 Aug
7th
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners
21 Jul
12th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 19 runners
27 Jun
12th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
14 Jun
5th
Chester
5f – 6½f · Soft · 14 runners
26 May
🏆 Won
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
22 May
5th
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
3 May
4th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
30 Mar
16th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good · 22 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
12%
Win rate
3/25
Won / Rode
Alex Jary
40%
Win rate
2/5
Won / Rode
Shay Farmer(7) Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Doncaster
Galloping
7 1 win, 1 second, 5 other 30 Mar 14.3%
Newcastle
Galloping
5 1 second, 4 other 27 Jun 0%
York
Galloping
4 4 other 12 Oct 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
3 1 win, 2 other 4 Apr 33.3%
Ayr
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 21 Jul 0%
Redcar
Galloping
2 2 wins 26 May 100%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 16 Aug 50%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 2 other 3 May 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 14 Jun 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 22 May 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 other 4 Aug 0%