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Arbitration

Arbitration is a 4-year-old with a modest record: one win from sixteen races across its career, with four additional top-3 finishes. The breakthrough came at Wolverhampton on 2 September 2025, but that remains its only victory in fourteen months, and the horse has not finished in the top 3 in its last six outings.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Beckford
Mother
Orphan Annie
Owner
Brocade Racing
Official rating
104

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
16
Career races
1
Wins
6.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
25%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
1 day
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The horse performs noticeably better over middle distances between one mile and one furlong and one mile and two furlongs, winning one of three races at that trip—a 33 percent win rate that stands out against its 6 percent win rate overall. At the higher class levels, though, Arbitration struggles; it has yet to win from six races in Class 4 company. Joe Tizzard's yard at Milborne Port has been sending out winners steadily this season, and Clifford Lee has partnered Arbitration most often in the saddle, with one win from six rides together—a 17 percent return that exceeds the horse's general form. That narrow compatibility with Lee hints at the value of the right jockey at the right moment, though neither has managed to spark a consistent run in recent months.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 33% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 11 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
5F – 6½F
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
17 Oct
6th
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
22 Sep
5th
Fontwell Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 5 runners
28 May
2nd
Worcester
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
13 May
2nd
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
8 Oct
8th
Nottingham
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 16 runners
14 Sep
4th
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
2 Sep
🏆 Won
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 8 runners
15 Aug
5th
Thirsk
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
22 Jul
3rd
Musselburgh
7f – 1m · Good · 8 runners
28 Jun
6th
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
Brendan Powell Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Doncaster
Galloping
3 3 other 14 Sep 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 22 Jul 0%
Newton Abbot
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 17 Oct 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 2 other 15 Aug 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 win 2 Sep 100%
Worcester
Galloping
1 1 second 28 May 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Jul 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Apr 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 13 Jun 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Oct 0%
Fontwell Park
Tight
1 1 other 22 Sep 0%