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Aqpan

Aqpan is a three-year-old who has quietly been building a profile worth paying attention to. Six races into his career, he has won once and placed three times — not a horse who wins constantly, but one who keeps turning up in the places and who his trainer, Roger Varian, clearly believes has a ceiling well above where he currently operates.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Colt
Colour
Brown
Father
Blue Point
Mother
Testimony
Owner
Nurlan Bizakov
Rating
100

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
6
Career races
1
Wins
16.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That one career win came at Southwell on 28 March 2026, and the circumstances around it are telling. Varian was open about the fact that Aqpan wasn't fully wound up for the race, not at his peak fitness, only really finding his best stride as the finish line approached — and he still won convincingly enough to leave a strong impression. That kind of performance, winning while still with something in reserve, is often the most encouraging kind. It suggests there is more to come once the horse is sharpened up properly.

Varian himself has pointed to the bigger picture in no uncertain terms. The French 2,000 Guineas — one of the most prestigious races for three-year-olds in Europe — holds an entry for Aqpan, and the Greenham Stakes at Newbury, a recognised trial for the English equivalent, is being considered as a likely next step. These are not races you enter a horse in as wishful thinking; they are top-level contests, and the trainer's language around Aqpan is deliberately ambitious. Varian has described the horse as one they can "be bold with," which from a trainer who has sent out 87 winners already this season is a phrase that carries real weight.

Over his best trip of seven furlongs to a mile, Aqpan has won one from four races — roughly a 1-in-4 ratio — and Varian believes a mile will suit him well. The recent form figures make interesting reading too: his last six runs read 7-8-6-1-2-2, meaning outside of one poor run he has been competitive in five of his last six. The two runs before his Southwell win, both second-place finishes, came against what Varian described as very good horses. Losing to quality company is a very different thing from simply being beaten.

At three, with big targets in mind and a trainer willing to test him at the highest level, Aqpan is exactly the kind of horse who could look very different by the end of the season to how he looks on paper right now.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 25% win rate

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
5F – 6½F
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
23 May
7th
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
16 May
8th
Newbury
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
18 Apr
6th
Newbury
7f – 1m · Good · 8 runners
28 Mar
🏆 Won
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 7 runners
17 Dec
2nd
Kempton Park
7f – 1m · Standard_To_Slow · 9 runners
1 Dec
2nd
Kempton Park
7f – 1m · Standard_To_Slow · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newbury
Galloping
2 2 other 16 May 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 2 seconds 17 Dec 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 win 28 Mar 100%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 23 May 0%