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American Affair

American Affair is a six-year-old gelding who has figured out exactly what he is good at — and has spent the last two years getting sharper at it. He has won nine of his 29 races, a win rate of roughly one in every three attempts, but the real story is how his trainer Jim Goldie, based in Lanarkshire, has systematically worked out his best distance and conditions. The horse ran seven furlongs early in his career and flopped; dropped back to five furlongs, he has thrived. In Class 2 company — the second tier of British racing — he has won four of nine races, a 44% win rate that marks him as a genuine talent at that level.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Washington DC
Mother
Classy Anne
Trainer
Owner
Barraston Racing J S Goldie
Official rating
112

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
29
Career races
9
Wins
31.0%
Win rate
avg ~10%
62.1%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
36 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The shape of his career is what makes him interesting. After his maiden win at Wetherby in May 2023, American Affair spent over a year finding his feet before stringing together a sequence of big wins. He took a Class 2 at Thirsk in June 2024, then Doncaster in September. Earlier this year he has been flying: Class 2 wins at Musselburgh in April and York in May, followed by a breakthrough Class 1 victory at Ascot in June. That Ascot win was particularly significant — it came just three weeks after a defeat at Haydock, and it proved to Goldie that the horse had the speed and class to compete at the very top level. Last month he won again at Goodwood, suggesting the improvement has held.

Paul Mulrennan, his regular jockey, has ridden him in 19 races and won seven of them — a 37% win rate that speaks to a strong understanding between horse and rider. The trainer has been clear that five furlongs is the sweet spot: the horse is fast, potentially quicker than many of his rivals, and appears to settle better over that sprint distance than over longer trips. His recent form reads 2-12-1-6-26-2 — a second place just six days ago — and at six years old, with four Class 1 or 2 wins in the last year alone, American Affair looks to have finally found his niche as a genuine sprint specialist. The yard, busy with 88 winners this season already, clearly knows how to put this horse into the right races.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Strong overall win rate: wins 31% of races
✔ Effective partnership with Paul Mulrennan: 37% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Yet to win at Ayr in 5 attempts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Good to soft (some give)
Good (a little give)
Ok
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
13 Sep
2nd
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 18 runners
21 Aug
12th
York
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 18 runners
31 Jul
🏆 Won
Goodwood
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 15 runners
11 Jul
6th
York
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 15 runners
16 Jun
26th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 26 runners
23 May
2nd
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
13 May
10th
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
17 Jun
🏆 Won
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 23 runners
24 May
5th
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
15 May
🏆 Won
York
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 18 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
36.8%
Win rate
7/19
Wins / rides
Amie Waugh
25%
Win rate
1/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
York
Galloping
5 1 win, 4 other 21 Aug 20%
Ayr
Galloping
5 2 seconds, 1 third, 2 other 21 Sep 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
4 2 seconds, 1 third, 1 other 23 May 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
3 2 wins, 1 other 19 Apr 66.7%
Ascot
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 16 Jun 50%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 14 Sep 50%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 2 Jun 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 win 31 Jul 100%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 win 16 Jun 100%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 win 16 May 100%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 win 1 Sep 100%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 second 18 Aug 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 second 13 Sep 0%