All In Peder

Both wins came in a tight window back in the summer of 2023 — first at Gowran Park in late May, then at Listowel the following week in early June. That was 38 months ago now, and All In Peder hasn't been back to the winner's enclosure since. The last six runs read 8, a blank, then 15th, 14th, 11th, and 12th — finishing in the bottom half of the field each time. For a horse who once strung two wins together in quick succession, it's a lean stretch by any measure.

What the stats do reveal is where All In Peder is at its best. On normal ground — not too wet, not too dry — it has won 2 races from 8, a win rate of 25%, or roughly 1 in every 4. That's a meaningfully better record than its overall career average and suggests the horse has genuine preferences. Strip away the races run on unsuitable ground and the picture looks a little less bleak. Similarly, at distances between a mile and six furlongs and two miles, it has won 1 from 4 — another 25% clip — hinting that there's still a version of All In Peder capable of competing when conditions line up.

Raced just one day ago and very much still active, All In Peder remains in training at seven years old. The question is whether the right combination of distance and ground can unlock something that's been missing for over three years. The potential is there in the numbers, if not quite in the recent form.