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Ajrad

Ajrad is a horse that has learned the hard way how to be competitive. At eight years old, the gelding has raced 65 times and won just eight of them—roughly one win for every eight races he runs—which tells you he is a honest middle-distance campaigner who knows his level and tends to stay there.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
New Approach
Mother
Princess Cammie
Owner
Canisbay Bloodstock
Official rating
49

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
65
Career races
8
Wins
12.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
26.2%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
13 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The most telling part of Ajrad's story is what happened after a strong 2024. He won four times that year, which was his best run, but trainer Rod Millman says he has "been paying the penalty ever since"—a blunt way of saying the handicapper punished success by raising the weights he carries. For the past thirteen months, since a win at Bath in September 2025, Ajrad has been unable to get back in front. His recent form reads 4-6-4-4-5-3 across his last six races: mostly fourth and fifth place finishes, the mark of a horse trying hard but running out of room.

Millman, based at his Kentisbeare yard in Devon, knows exactly what makes this horse tick. Ajrad loves straight courses—he has won twice at Chepstow and been runner-up twice there too—and he performs best over a mile and one to a mile and two furlongs. More importantly, he needs to be ridden with patience. The trainer's insight is revealing: the horse can be "too clever," meaning he anticipates what the jockey wants and fights against it. When Millman drops him in at the back of the race and lets him settle, Ajrad finds his rhythm and comes alive. When he is held up too handily, he becomes resentful and starts pulling, which drains him. Lewis Edmunds, who has ridden him three times and won twice, seems to understand that balance better than most. On normal ground conditions he is sharper too—a 25% win rate across eight races shows he genuinely thrives when the track is neither soft nor hard.

Right now Ajrad is a horse in need of patience, a good jockey, the right track, and a race at the right level. On his day at a straight course with someone who lets him relax and travel, he can still win. But that day has not come in over a year, and at his age, with the weights stacked against him, those moments are becoming rarer.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 8 starts (25%)
✔ Course specialist at Chepstow: 3 wins from 13 starts (23%)
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 22% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Kempton Park in 6 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Standard (all-weather)
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
7F – 1M
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
Class 6 (grassroots)
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, tight turns
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
5 Oct
4th
Kempton Park
7f – 1m · 14 runners
21 Sep
6th
Ffos Las
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 10 runners
31 Aug
4th
Chepstow
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
18 Aug
4th
Chepstow
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
9 Aug
5th
Chepstow
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
16 Jul
3rd
Chepstow
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 14 runners
15 Jun
5th
Chepstow
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 11 runners
29 May
6th
Chepstow
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
6 May
DNF
Kempton Park
7f – 1m · Standard_To_Slow · 12 runners
17 Apr
6th
Bath
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
20%
Win rate
3/15
Wins / rides
20%
Win rate
2/10
Wins / rides
25%
Win rate
1/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Lingfield Park
Sharp
23 2 wins, 2 thirds, 19 other 20 Mar 8.7%
Chepstow
Galloping
13 3 wins, 2 seconds, 2 thirds, 6 other 31 Aug 23.1%
Kempton Park
Galloping
6 6 other 5 Oct 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
4 1 win, 3 other 31 Mar 25%
Southwell
Galloping
4 4 other 15 Jan 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
3 1 win, 2 other 24 Jul 33.3%
Bath
Undulating
3 1 win, 2 other 17 Apr 33.3%
Leicester
Sharp
3 1 second, 2 other 7 Oct 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 9 Nov 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Jul 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Apr 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 other 16 Sep 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 third 18 Sep 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Sep 0%