:

Aill Dubh

Nine years old and still finding his best form — Aill Dubh is the kind of horse that keeps the yard patient before eventually delivering. He has won just once from 15 races across his career, a 1-in-15 record that tells a story of a horse who has spent most of his life making the frame without quite getting his nose in front. That sole victory came at Newcastle on 31 March 2026, and it was clearly no fluke — his recent run of form reads 1-3-4-4 going back through his last six outings, which shows a horse in the best shape of his life right now.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Shantou
Mother
Captain Carol
Owner
The Cheltenham Trail
Rating
76

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
15
Career races
1
Wins
6.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
13.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Today
Cartmel
About 2.6 miles · Ideal conditions · 10 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What makes that Newcastle win particularly interesting is the context. Aill Dubh has run three times at the level he typically competes at — Class 5, which is the bread-and-butter tier of British racing — and he had gone winless in all three before that breakthrough. Getting off the mark at nine is not unheard of, but it does suggest a horse who has taken a long time to put everything together. Whether that's down to finding the right conditions, the right track, or simply maturing late, Newcastle seems to have brought out the best in him.

He runs out of Micky Hammond's yard in Middleham, North Yorkshire — a stable that has been busy and productive this season, sending out 31 winners. That level of output from a training operation suggests a team that knows how to place horses well and find the right opportunities, which bodes well for keeping Aill Dubh in form. He raced just a day ago, so he is very much in the thick of things right now rather than building back towards a target.

At nine, the window is not wide open, but the recent form figures suggest he is running as well as he ever has. For a horse who spent so long finishing just outside the winning positions, finally getting that win on the board — and then continuing to run competitively in the races that followed — is the most encouraging thing about him. Whether he can add to that tally remains to be seen, but right now Aill Dubh looks like a horse who has found his level and is making the most of it.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, tight
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
28 Jun
4th
Cartmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
13 May
4th
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
31 Mar
🏆 Won
Newcastle
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
14 Mar
3rd
Newcastle
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
25 Jan
DNF
Sedgefield
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
26 Dec
DNF
Wetherby
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 8 runners
10 Dec
DNF
Hexham
1m6f – 2m · Heavy · 9 runners
28 Aug
11th
Bellewstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 19 runners
21 Aug
10th
Sligo
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 17 runners
8 Aug
4th
Sligo
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Alice Stevens
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
Danny McMenamin Current Jockey
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Philip Donovan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Kilbeggan
Tight
3 3 other 26 Jul 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 third 31 Mar 50%
Sligo
Sharp
2 2 other 21 Aug 0%
Clonmel
Sharp
1 1 other 16 May 0%
Perth
Galloping
1 1 other 13 May 0%
Hexham
Undulating
1 1 other 10 Dec 0%
Cartmel
Tight
1 1 other 28 Jun 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Dec 0%
Sedgefield
Sharp
1 1 other 25 Jan 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 other 24 Nov 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
1 1 other 28 Aug 0%