Agostino

The horse has been away for roughly four months, which is a real break in racing terms. His most recent six runs read as a struggle: fifth, thirteenth, second, fifth, sixth, sixth. That second-place finish shows he is still competitive when things align, but overall it reads like a horse treading water. What is interesting is his relationship with jockey Marco Ghiani, who has partnered him in 12 races and won three of them—a 25% win rate that is nearly three times his overall record. When trainer Sean Davis at Maynooth teams them up again, it will be worth noting. On normal, standard ground Agostino wins roughly 1 in every 6 races, compared to just 1 in every 20 on other conditions, so going matters. At Class 5, his winning chances shrink to just 1 in 20, which tells you he is operating at the outer edge of his ability at that level. A return to Chelmsford, ideally on normal ground with Marco Ghiani up, might be the moment to watch for a horse that has been gone too long.