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Aeros Luck

Aeros Luck is a horse caught in the hardest part of its racing life: the long stretch between victories that tests both patience and belief. At seven years old, the horse has won just twice from thirty races (2 wins, 13 places), and the drought is now brutal—sixteen months have passed since that second and most recent victory at Punchestown in June 2025. In his last six outings, he has finished in the money three times but cannot find the winner's circle, most recently finishing sixth just a day ago.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
My Dream Boat
Mother
Sapere Aude
Owner
Raymond Anderson Green
Official rating
123

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
30
Career races
2
Wins
6.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
43.3%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
14 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What makes Aeros Luck worth watching, though, is what the record reveals beneath the surface. On slightly soft or muddy ground, the horse shifts into a different gear entirely—winning 2 of his 6 races on that terrain represents a 33% win rate, nearly five times his career average. That is a genuine edge. His trainer, Gavin Cromwell, has suggested that Aeros Luck is a horse that races keenly, sometimes too much for his own good, but settles better when conditions suit him. There is also the matter of his regular jockey Keith Donoghue, who has ridden him to 1 win from 7 races (14%)—better than the overall record, though still a modest sample. The fact that Aeros Luck has never won at Class 3 level, despite four attempts, suggests he may be more comfortable in less competitive races where he can use his strengths without the added pressure of facing tougher rivals. After years of chasing, this is a horse that needs the right set of circumstances—soft ground, a suitable class, and perhaps the settling presence of Donoghue—to remind the yard why they kept him in training this long.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_yielding ground: 2 wins from 6 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Kelso in 5 attempts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Undulating tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to yielding (mild give)
Loves
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, hilly
Avoids
Right-handed, tight
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Oct
3rd
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
22 Apr
3rd
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
28 Feb
DNF
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
1 Feb
2nd
Musselburgh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
29 Dec
2nd
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 3 runners
7 Dec
6th
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 10 runners
25 Oct
5th
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 5 runners
21 Aug
7th
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
3 Aug
6th
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 14 runners
18 Jul
DNF
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 10 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
14.3%
Win rate
1/7
Wins / rides
William Maggs
0%
Win rate
0/5
Wins / rides
25%
Win rate
1/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Kelso
Undulating
5 1 second, 1 third, 3 other 4 Oct 0%
Kilbeggan
Tight
3 2 seconds, 1 third 16 May 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 1 Jul 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
3 3 other 3 Mar 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 7 Jun 50%
Bellewstown
Sharp
2 2 seconds 6 Jul 0%
Killarney
Sharp
2 2 other 21 Aug 0%
Wexford
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 4 Apr 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
2 2 other 30 Nov 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 win 18 Sep 100%
Perth
Galloping
1 1 third 22 Apr 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 3 Aug 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Apr 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 other 6 May 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 second 1 Feb 0%