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Ad Caelum

There is a horse in John Patrick Ryan's Templemore yard that has quietly become one to watch at Kilbeggan — and its recent form suggests it is right back in the groove. Ad Caelum is a seven-year-old with five career wins from 37 races, a win rate of roughly 1 in every 7, which is modest on paper. But look more carefully at where those wins have come, and a pattern emerges.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Cloudings
Mother
Ad Meliora
Owner
John Patrick Ryan
Rating
122

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
37
Career races
5
Wins
13.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
37.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Kilbeggan is this horse's happy place. Two wins from seven races there — nearly 1 in every 3 — makes Ad Caelum a genuine course specialist at the small Midlands track. That is the kind of statistic that should make any racegoer sit up. Most horses find one track much the same as another, so when one clearly thrives somewhere specific, it usually means something — the tight turns, the ground, the atmosphere. Whatever it is about Kilbeggan, Ad Caelum keeps coming back and keeps delivering. The most recent win there came just four weeks ago, on 15 June 2026, so this is not ancient history.

The recent form reads 5-1-3-6-7-6, which means a second-place finish sandwiched between a couple of wins and a few tougher outings. That is the nature of jump racing — horses find their level, and Ad Caelum's level is competitive without always being dominant. What matters is that the horse raced just one day ago and is clearly in good health and active training. Ryan's yard has sent out 21 winners already this season, which tells you this is not a quiet operation making up the numbers — they know when a horse is ready to run.

Sean O'Keeffe has ridden Ad Caelum in 10 of its races and won 2 of them, a win rate of 20%, or roughly 1 in 5. That is actually better than the horse's overall record, which suggests the partnership works. When you see O'Keeffe's name on this horse's back at a track like Kilbeggan, you are looking at a combination that has already won there together and knows the job. Ad Caelum is not a superstar, but it is exactly the kind of horse that rewards attention — consistent, course-savvy, and in the hands of a trainer who clearly has his string in fine form right now.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Yet to win at Clonmel in 6 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Yielding to soft (damp)
Good to yielding (mild give)
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Ok
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
10 Jul
5th
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 18 runners
15 Jun
🏆 Won
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 14 runners
21 May
3rd
Limerick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 9 runners
15 May
6th
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
4 May
7th
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
14 Apr
6th
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 7 runners
4 Apr
DNF
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 11 runners
26 Mar
3rd
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 6 runners
22 Mar
4th
Limerick
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 4 runners
18 Jan
5th
Thurles
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 6 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
20%
Win rate
2/10
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/7
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
Mr D McGill
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Michael Kenneally Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Mr D Doyle
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
Philip Donovan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Liam McKenna(5)
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Kilbeggan
Tight
7 2 wins, 2 seconds, 3 other 10 Jul 28.6%
Clonmel
Sharp
6 1 second, 1 third, 4 other 14 Apr 0%
Limerick
Galloping
5 1 win, 1 third, 3 other 21 May 20%
Thurles
Undulating
5 1 win, 2 thirds, 2 other 18 Jan 20%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
4 1 win, 3 other 12 Sep 25%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 4 Apr 0%
Cork
Galloping
2 2 other 7 Dec 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Feb 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 28 Sep 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 other 17 Jul 0%
Sligo
Sharp
1 1 second 1 Oct 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 other 4 May 0%