Win rate and top-3 rate will show once this horse has raced.
Murphy's yard is in strong form, which counts for something—a trainer firing on all cylinders tends to get horses to the track in the right frame of mind. But a debut is always a shot in the dark. Zeus Forlonge will either show up ready to race or he won't. That is the reality of a first run. What happens over the next few hundred yards will tell us far more than pedigree or timing ever could.